Wednesday, December 26, 2012

Should the Lions have Drafted Jenkins?

     Now that you have read my title, let me be clear with my answer to my own question: no, they should not have.  This post is going to be mostly a rant, so although I use this blog for practice and try my best to be as professional as possible, I will make an exception on this argument because I am tired of hearing about this. The Lions were in the right to not take a chance on the troubled Janoris Jenkins,even though he is talented and is having a solid season for the St. Louis Rams.

     First of all, the arrests that Jenkins has on his record.  Jenkins was arrested three times when he was at the University of Florida.  The Lions endured seven arrests from four players combined on this roster.  On top of Jenkins' arrests, the man has four children with three different women.  Two things that I have heard as to reasons how the Lions could be in the mess they are in this season is the distractions from the offseason arrests and not taking a chance on the super-talented Jenkins.  If Skittles still had those advertisements where they talk about contradictions, that last sentence would be one of them.  Why would you argue both of these as a reason for this awful season, especially put in the same argument?  Jenkins had way too many personal problems prior to the last draft for the Lions to take a chance on him.

     Next, I will describe the meaning of best player available and needs.  Analysts said through last year's draft process that the Lions needs were secondary help and offensive lineman.  Many voices I have heard said the Lions should have selected Jenkins in the first round because he filled the most dire need for the team.  Let me fully clear about this, cornerback was by far not the biggest need for the team, and Jenkins was not more talented and brought as much impact as actual first round pick Riley Reiff does.  Reiff has only started one game this season, but he will be a stalwart at left tackle for the next decade or so while it is unknown how long Jenkins would have lasted with the team and in the NFL in general.

     Since there was no way for the Lions to draft Jenkins in the first round, they could have traded up to take him in the second round right?  Wrong again.  For the Lions to trade up from the 54th overall pick last April to before the 39th (Jenkins was taken with the 39th pick by the Rams), they certainly would of had to trade at least three picks.  Now, I know what you are saying, such as Ryan Broyles (who the Lions ended up taking in the 2nd round) was a luxury pick and Dwight Bentley and Ronnell Lewis (3rd and 4th round picks) haven't made much of impact anyways.  Let me put it to you guys in two ways: 1. The Lions depth has taken a hit this season, so imagine if we didn't have every single draft pick we had in this draft, and 2.

     Every pick Detroit had in the last draft is meant for the future.  Sure, I would like to get better for this season, but I would prefer my favorite sports teams to be good for the next 10-15 years as well.  So let this draft class develop before rambling on like somebody who has only gained knowledge of football from playing Madden every minute of every day and look at the logistics behind every play and every decision as well.

     Is Jannoris Jenkins a good player?  No question.  Did I want the Lions to get him, especially at all costs? A very big hell no.  Football, like every other sport, goes beyond just what players you have on a team, but it also involves the character of the players.  With questions of the character on the Lions, the front office had every right to take Jannoris Jenkins off of their board and ignore him.

     One single corner is not going to change an entire football team when this is a game that is won in the trenches anyways.  So it is not very smart that this season hinges on not taking a guy like Jenkins.  So, I will end the argument like this: please everyone, just stop about this subject.

Sunday, December 23, 2012

Top 10 Ever: Running Backs

     In part two of my "Best Ever" series, I take a look at the running backs in NFL history.  Without further adieu:

10. Curtis Martin- Patriots, Jets
9. Gale Sayers- Bears
8. Earl Campbell- Oilers, Saints
7. LaDainian Tomlinson- Chargers, Jets
6. Marcus Allen- Raiders, Chiefs
5. Eric Dickerson- Rams, Colts, Raiders, Falcons
4. Marshall Faulk- Colts, Rams
3. Walter Payton- Bears
2. Jim Brown- Browns
1. Barry Sanders- Lions

     Really shouldn't be much surprise in this list.  Curtis Martin could carry his teams on his shoulders when need be.  Gale Sayers is only number nine because he didn't play that long in the NFL.  If he did, there would be no doubt he would be higher.

     Earl Campbell was a monster on the gridiron, literally.  He was the rare combination of size and speed, mostly size.  Defenders feared tackling him, as his enormous legs would probably shatter their shoulders, but he would still be able to sprint to the endzone with the best of them.

     LaDanian Tomlinson is probably the last great running back, even with what Adrian Peterson is doing right now.  LT was Mr. Everything in his prime.  He could run, he could cut and make defenders look like fools, he could catch and block for the quarterback.  You might never see that combination with another running back again.

     Marcus Allen and Eric Dickerson were all about speed, and they used that speed to their advantage.  One play shows Marcus Allen's greatness, and that was Super Bowl XVIII against the Redskins, where he zig-zagged across the field and ended up running for 74 yards for the touchdown.  Eric Dickerson owns the rushing record that still stands to this day.  Although I said I won't put people on this list for records they earned, Eric Dickerson didn't get over 2,100 yards on short little runs.  Dickerson could outrun all 11 players on the opposing defenses and could sprint a mile.

     LT might have been Mr. Everything the last decade, but Marshall Faulk and Walter Payton were there first.  Yes, I will use a record for another argument, but Faulk did have the most total yards, rushing and receiving.  That just proves his versatility along with his elusiveness.  For as much as you recognize the Chicago Bears for their defense, but you remember them for the man named Payton.  It is pretty justifiable to say that if Walter Payton didn't play for the Bears, Chicago would have been one of the worst offenses back then.

     What Johnny Unitas and Otto Graham were to quarterbacks in the 1950's, Jim Brown was to running backs.  Brown has been voted by many peers and football experts as to being the greatest football player to play.  Brown was the face of toughness that people recognize today in the sport of football.

     And finally, Barry Sanders as number one.  Yes, I am a Lions fan, and it was hard to rank the list between Sanders, Brown and Payton, but I did not have bias in this.  Barry Sanders' running style can only be compared to trying to catch a chicken that was bathed in butter.  If there was a record of breaking ankles and tearing ACLs from juking out players, Sanders would definitely own it.  As I mentioned for Brett Favre in my last list, Sanders too only played the game just for the enjoyment of playing.  He never played for records or rewards, he played just because he had the ability to play and was out there for the enjoyment of the game.  That respect should go farther than any record could ever take him.

     Next up on Top 10 Ever: Wide Receivers
   


Do the Lions need a new coach?

By Brad Jenkins

     People are starting to wonder around Motown if Jim Schwartz is the right guy to remain the head coach of the Lions.  Schwartz's career record in Detroit currently stands at 22-41 and has brought the team that went 0-16 to 10-6 in a matter of three years.

     But is that good enough?

     The Lions have plenty of talent on the team from quarterback Matthew Stafford to safety Louis Delmas, and now that same team that went 10-6 is now 4-11.  Jim Schwartz needs to take some ownership for this team and do something before it gets worse.  Maybe fire one of the coordinators to light a fire under the players to say that no one's job is safe.

     The immense talent on the roster and early picks "earned" in the upcoming draft to add even more talent puts this team in position to be one of the best teams in the league.

     Another reason who to blame is the Ford family.  They are one of the nicest and most generous owners in the league and gave Schwartz a contract extension after only one good year.

     The Lions as a team has regressed this season, and Schwartz obviously needs to do something such as shake up the coaching staff, or his job will be on the rocks.

Friday, December 14, 2012

Lions Should Start Young Players

     The 2012 season is lost for the Detroit Lions.  I won't get into how much of a disappointment this season has been, but I will mention that this is a young team that lacks experience despite the 10-6 record in 2011.  The Lions have struggled to finish games, but as a young team, they need to learn how to win those games and give the youth more experience in preparation for next year.

Riley Reiff and other rookies should see more playing time
     The Lions have five recent draft picks that are on the active roster that aren't injured: OT Riley Reiff (1), DE/LB Ronnell Lewis (4), LB Tahir Whitehead (5.a.), CB Jonte Green (6), and LB Travis Lewis (7).  The other three draft picks, WR Ryan Broyles (2), CB Dwight Bentley (3), and CB Chris Greenwood (5.b.) are all on injured reserve.  Reiff and Green are the only ones on the active list that have gotten some good playing time.  The others, not so much.

     With the season being lost, the Lions should try to plug in their rookies for those players to gain experience and for the team to get more of a scouting report on what types of players they have.

     Riley Reiff is the future replacement for Jeff Backus at left tackle, and the future could be next season.  Reiff has had some good playing time coming in as an extra blocker on offense as a tight end or fullback.  Reiff did start one game as part of the starting five on Thanksgiving, starting for Backus at left tackle against the Texans.  Reiff did have a very solid game in his first career start, as Houston is a good team to test him out against.  The future is very bright, but the Lions should start plugging him in more in the starting five.

     Ronnell Lewis has only been activated for five games this season, mainly for special teams.  Cliff Avril and Kyle Vanden Bosch are inevitably not going to be on the team next season and there is a possibility that Lawrence Jackson and Willie Young might leave as well.  The Lions should start grooming Lewis for him to get more action at defensive end.

     Jonte Green has been the lone rookie that has seen a lot of playing time this season (mostly because of injury) but has performed well in three starts.  Green has been used on defense and special teams, so there is nothing wrong with his playing time.

     Finally, the two linebackers, Tahir Whitehead and Travis Lewis.  Both players have been mainly used on special teams like the rest of the rookies, although Lewis has seen a few snaps at linebacker.  Linebacker is one of the teams' biggest weaknesses this season, and with the potential departures of DeAndre Levy and Justin Durant, the Lions need to know they can count on Whitehead and Lewis for the future.

     By no means am I telling the coaches how to do their jobs.  However, for the team to move forward as a franchise, they should at least think about playing their young players more often these last three games.

Wednesday, December 12, 2012

Top 10 Ever: Quarterbacks

     In what is closing in on the end of another NFL season with a few potentially going to be broken, I shall take a look at who exactly is the greatest at each position in NFL history.  I will not base any of this off of records or championships the player accomplished with their team.  I will base this off of talent, and value they have to a team (as in if that team didn't have that certain player, would they be as successful).  To start this new series, the greatest quarterbacks ever.

10. Dan Fouts- Chargers
9. Brett Favre- Falcons, Packers, Jets, Vikings
8. Steve Young- Buccaneers, 49ers
7. Sammy Baugh- Redskins
6. Roger Staubach- Cowboys
5. Dan Marino- Dolphins
4. Peyton Manning- Colts, Broncos
3. Otto Graham- Browns
2. Joe Montana- 49ers, Chiefs
1. Johnny Unitas- Colts, Chargers

     Not really much of a surprise on many of these players.  If you call yourself a quote-on-quote "football buff" but don't know the history of the greatness that is Johnny Unitas and Otto Graham, then you might want to learn some history.  Quarterbacks today wouldn't be able to keep up with the talents of those two.

     I placed Dan Fouts and Sammy Baugh on this list because they were the quarterbacks that revolutionized the passing game in the NFL.  Baugh was the first real dropback quarterback in the 1930s.  Fouts revolutionized by being one of the first quarterbacks to utilize the downfield passing attack.

     Montana and Young were two quarterbacks that had ice flowing through their veins.  Nothing phased them, and both faced great adversity in their time.  Dan Marino also was calm when he played and just slung the ball.  If Fouts revolutionized the downfield passing, these three mastered it.

     Roger Staubach was the face of the Dallas Cowboys.  He made the Cowboys relevant and Dallas wasn't the same team the next decade after he retired.

     Peyton Manning is probably the only quarterback today that can match the likes of Johnny Unitas and Otto Graham.  His knowledge of the game and pure ability makes him at least the best of the last 15 years.

     Brett Favre might not be the most mechanically sound quarterback in history, as he caused offensive coordinators to lose a lot of hair, but his greatness goes beyond his play.  Favre brought the fun out of the game in what many treat as serious business.  How he played the game should be respected, and even more so since he was successful at it.

     Debate the list if you want, I already explained my preferences for being on this list.  These quarterbacks changed the way football is made and should be recognized as the greatest for what they have done to the game.

     Next up on Top 10 Ever: Top 10 running backs.

Saturday, December 1, 2012

Why is the Media Attacking Suh?

     The NFL offices has released a statement saying they will not suspend Lions defensive tackle Ndamukong Suh for a controversial "kick" to the groin area of Houston quarterback Matt Schaub.

     The talking heads in the media went to work after the incident occurred and spared no time in saying the kick was intentional and continued on their rampage to explain how Suh is a "dirty" player.

     Shannon Sharpe on the CBS NFL Today show gave his examples as to why Suh is a dirty player and deserves to fined and suspended because of the recent history.  In the ramblings, he showed video of aggressive plays of Ndamukong Suh in his time in Detroit.  The tape fails to show how exactly Suh has shown to be a dirty player and taking cheap shots on opponents and instead the video shows times of aggressiveness that many other players have done in this league, but those players have been ignored.

     How is any of this fair to Suh and the Lions?

     If one player performs a certain aggressive play and gets the moniker of a "dirty player" and another performs the same actions, and those same people disregard that, where is the fairness when analyzing Suh's game?

     Now let's take a look at the alleged kick on Thanksgiving:
     Slow-motion shots do show that there is a possibility of the kick being intentional, showing that when Suh's contacted Schaub's groin, he appeared to extend the leg as many of the analysts would describe.  How in the good lord's name can anyone with common sense tell you that a 300 pound defensive lineman getting taken down to the ground with their legs flailing in the air possibly land a kick on purpose?  Chuck Norris and Bruce Lee couldn't even land a kick like that on purpose let alone an accidental play.  All this attack from many members of the media against Suh is fair and unjust, as there has been worse incidents that have occurred, and those same media members just turned their heads.

     Speaking of which, I will now transition and break down a recent incident from the NFL that involved a kick that was intentional and received little to no recognition from the national media as signs of dirty play.

     This video was taken during a game between the Green Bay Packers and Minnesota Vikings in a 2011 game.  The incident occurred between Packers guard T.J. Lang and Vikings defensive end Brian Robison:



     Yeah, this was unintentional and just a good football play.  Robison was fined a meager $20 thousand for a completely intentional kick and was not even thought of being suspended.  The worst part of it was that after a small bit reported on, no anchor or broadcaster said one word following the incident.  Where is the fairness?

     There are a couple more incidents that occurred the Sunday following the alleged "groin kick."  However, there is no youtube videos out for them and I have not found any other source to post them.  So the video above will work just fine for right now.

     In closing, I would like to say that if I had a reason to watch the FOX pregame show over CBS (even though I do anyways because FOX is just a better show overall), it would be because horrible display of journalistic integrity from the anchors on CBS.  Their attacks on Ndamukong Suh is unfair and unjustifiable.

     As a proud Lions fan, I am officially boycotting my views on the NFL Today on CBS based on the poor analysis from the staff and the constant bashing a team like the Lions receive from the panel and not being fair towards the team, the player, and the fan-base of that team.

Thursday, November 8, 2012

Quarterly Report: Season Back on Track

     After a nightmarish first quarter of the NFL season for the Detroit Lions, the team answered back in the second quarter of the season with a 3-1 record.  The lone loss was a 13-7 decision to the Bears on Monday Night Football in Chicago.  Two of the three victories were on the road at Philadelphia (26-23 OT) and Jacksonville (31-14) along with a home victory over Seattle (28-24) in between.  The good performance in the second quarter of the season has put the Lions back into the playoff chase with a 4-4 record.

     The offense has still been having trouble in the first half of games, other than the game in Jacksonville.  The Jaguars game was in fact the first time all season the Lions had a lead going into halftime with a 21-0 lead.  The offense also did take a hit with the loss of wide receiver Nate Burleson for the remainder of the season with a broken leg.  That has left it open for Titus Young and Ryan Broyles to make an impact.  Both have made a combined 23 catches for 260 yards and four touchdowns since Burleson went down with the injury.  The Lions are starting to find some consistency in the run game, especially after Sunday.  Mikel Leshoure found the endzone three times on Sunday in the first half to go along with his 70 rushing yards against Jacksonville.  Joique Bell also added 73 rushing yards and another touchdown.  More consistency will be the key, as the Lions will need to stay balanced to keep moving forward.

     The defense has shined in the second quarter of the season.  Louis Delmas returned to action for the first time this season and helped out the defense greatly for the three games before getting injured yet again.  Other young players, such as safety Ricardo Silva and cornerback Jonte Green have stepped up with the injury bug going around the squad.  Both Silva and Green recorded their first career interceptions in the last two games, and the team has recorded all five of the team's interceptions in these last four games (Delmas, Chris Houston and Erik Coleman also have one).  The defensive line has been imposing their will on opposing offensive lines.  Micheal Vick and Jay Cutler essentially had no time to throw against the Lions.  Nick Fairley and Cliff Avril are also starting to heat up, and they will need to get even better to keep the dominance alongside Ndamukong Suh.

     Finally, the special teams has improved greatly.  What I mean by that is the unit has not given up a touchdown.  The return game has, however, regressed.  Returner Stefon Logan has fumbled a couple times, and they came at very inopportune times.  When Logan hasn't fumbled, he has made mental mistakes by letting punts go by him and losing many yards of field position or calling fair catch too early.  The return game needs to be better and give the offense better field position.  Jason Hanson has been on target like always, and so has punter Nick Harris.  Lawrence Jackson also blocked a field goal in the Monday Night contest against the Bears.

     Obviously, when the team goes 3-1, there is been some great improvements.  Now the key for the Lions is to find some consistency.  The third quarter of the season begins on the road at Minnesota before a three game homestand against Green Bay, Indianapolis and the annual Thanksgiving day game hosting Houston.

Thursday, November 1, 2012

Offseason Checker Game: Detroit Tigers

     The Detroit Tigers have left a sour taste in the mouth after being swept in the World Series by the San Francisco Giants.  Many minor changes are going to be made, but there will be some changes that need to happen if the Tigers hope to not only the reach the World Series, but win it.  Some moves have already been made, so I will break them down as well.
   
     Coaching staff: The entire coaching staff remains intact after Jim Leyland re-signs for one more year.  Hitting coach Lloyd McClendon also returns after interviewing for the managerial position with the Miami Marlins.  McClendon is a key coach for the Tigers to retain because of the work he did to improve Austin Jackson at the plate, improving the centerfielder's batting average by about 100 point.  He will be the key in the further development of players such as Quentin Berry, Andy Dirks and Alex Avila.

     Starting pitching: The starting rotation is pretty well set, other than the Tigers should re-sign Anibal Sanchez.  There is a small hole on the fifth spot in the rotation. Either the Tigers will open up a position like they did last year for the fifth role between Rick Porcello, Drew Smyly and Casey Crosby.  If not, it wouldn't hurt to take a look at several free agent starters such as Zack Greinke or Dallas Braden.  Or, look to trade for others such as Dan Haren or David Price.  A trade for David Price is more or less a pipe dream of mine, but it sure would be nice wouldn't it?

     Infielders:  Clearly the weakness in terms of defense.  I disagree with the Tigers picking up the club option on short stop Jhonny Peralta.  With Miguel Cabrera being put at third base, that leaves a very weak left side of the infield with the combination of Cabrera and Peralta, who aren't the fleetest of foot on the hot corner.  I would like to see the Tigers sign short stop Stephen Drew away from Oakland, but with Detroit picking up the option on Peralta, that idea is more than likely eliminated.  Fans will have to deal with Prince Fielder bumbling around first base for a couple more years until they convert him to the designated hitter.  Omar Infante stabilized the second base position, but didn't fix the issues.  He will very well be the starter come spring training, but the Tigers should sign another second baseman to push him and become depth.  Placido Polanco is available, and although he is 37, the second base position has been hurting since he left in 2010.

     Outfielders:  Is a position of strength, even though there is now a search for another corner outfielder after letting Delmon Young go and the possibility of Brennan Boesch not returning.  Delmon Young's release is another early move I disagree with, because it wouldn't hurt to give him one more year and put him in left field with his playoff resume the last two seasons in Detroit.  Sure his defense isn't the greatest, but unlike the infield, there is talent on defense in the outfield with Austin Jackson and Andy Dirks.  But now that Young is gone and perhaps Boesch as well.  Josh Hamilton is the first name that comes to many people's eyes, but he is too expensive (thank Prince Fielder's contract for that one) and it is very unlikely the Tigers would win a bidding war with the Rangers and the Yankees for Hamilton's services.  Maybe Ichiro? Highly unlikely because of his age and I see him going back to Seattle among others.  Keep an eye on names such as B.J. Upton, Shane Victorino, Nick Swisher and Torii Hunter.  Even though both Upton and Victorino are centerfielders, they could move to left field with Austin Jackson patrolling center.

     Bullpen:  The bullpen will remain intact from last year with the exception of a closer.  Jose Valverde was shown the door after following his stellar 2011 performance with a poor 2012.  Names to keep an eye on are Rapheal Soriano, who recorded 42 saves for the Yankees last season midseason, along with other names such as Jonathan Broxton, Ryan Madson and Brett Myers.  If Drew Smyly does make the rotation, the Tigers should also bring in a left handed reliever to go with Phil Coke.

     No telling on whether the Tigers take any of these routes, but each seems fair in accordance to their needs and the markets for these free agents.

Monday, October 8, 2012

Quarterly Report: Bad First Quarter

     The first four weeks of the NFL has the Lions sitting at 1-3.   Detroit only won 25% of their games through the first quarter of the season.
     There are many culprits as to who is to blame for the the lack of success early on this season.  The offense has under performed greatly, the defensive line has been underwhelming, and special teams have been anything but special.
     The Lions began the season with a 27-23 victory over the St. Louis Rams, but have lost three straight close games to the San Francisco 49ers (19-27), Tennessee Titans (41-44 OT) and Minnesota Vikings(13-20).
     There has been numerous problems that have shown up in all games.  The offense has failed to be consistent in any game, even in the game in Tennessee where the offense scored 41 points.  There has been too many turnovers, there is an identity crisis in terms of trying too much to run the football, and the team is settling for way too many field goals.
     Defensively, there lacks consistency like the offense.  The defense had a good performance against the Rams and the Vikings, but struggled to make an impact against the 49ers and Titans.  The defensive line has failed to perform.  With the poor play in the defensive line, the weakness in the secondary has been shown, allowing large chunks in passing yards.  The Lions have only forced two turnovers as a team, but have not recorded an interception yet this season.
     Special teams have proven to be a glaring weakness thanks to the last two games in which the unit allowed a kick return and punt return touchdown in each contest.  Return man Stefan Logan has a 10.9 yard per return on punts, which is a very solid number, however, he has failed to perform on kickoff returns when he does get a chance to return.
     All of these issues are rather easily fixable.
     Offensively, it is only a matter of efficiency and consistency.  The running game can give more of an impact because the Lions have made it obvious they want to establish the run.  Many times in the games  against Minnesota and San Francisco, running plays on first and second down ranged from a loss of yards, no gain, and a modest one to two yard gain.  The Lions need to be gaining four to six yards a carry if they want to be successful.  Calvin Johnson has a total of one touchdown reception.  One.  Opposing teams have been defending the Lions deeper to prevent the big pass to Johnson, but the Lions have failed to adjust early in games and give the ball more to Johnson along with other weapons such as Titus Young or Tony Scheffler.  Being able to sling the ball to those weapons along with more consistency in the run game will make the Lions a more efficient offense like we saw last year.
     Defensively, Detroit's strength has failed to show up.  The defensive line was supposed to be the strength for the defense with the weaknesses in the secondary.  However, there has been no pass rush to assist.  Ndamukong Suh has been the only one to get the best rush on the quarterback, and the interior defensive line should not be the only ones getting sacks.  Defending the run hasn't been too much of a problem, which is a good sign seeing that the Lions faced running backs such as Steven Jackson, Frank Gore, Chris Johnson and Adrian Peterson in the first four weeks.  The key is for the nine men getting into the rotation on the front line (Suh, Nick Fairley, Sammie Hill, Kyle Vanden Bosch, Cliff Avril, Corey Williams, Ronnell Lewis, Willie Young and Lawrence Jackson) to be more consistent and be the dominant force many people expect out of them.
     Finally, the special teams.  Needless to say it has been the weakness of the team.  Giving up a kick return touchdown and punt return touchdown in back-to-back weeks tend to make it glaringly obvious that the unit is a weakness.  Simple to fix.  Mainly the kick coverage should be able to keep their lanes better and actually tackle the returner, which they failed to do on the punt return touchdown from the Vikings.  Punt return has been fine as I mentioned with Stefon Logan, although, there could be more of a spark from the kick returns.  The problems with kickoff coverage could be kicker Jason Hanson isn't kicking the ball through the endzone.  Perhaps the struggles on special teams could be limited if Hanson gets more touchbacks and avoid the opposing returners.  The same could be said about the punt coverage.  Nick Harris is now the guy at punter after Ben Graham was injured and he should kick the ball out of bounds more often, especially when the schedule holds many teams with dynamic kick returners such as Desean Jackson, Devin Hester (twice), Patrick Peterson and Leon Washington.
     All that I have mentioned for the Lions to improve on is easier said than done, but to progress for the second quarter of the season (at Philadelphia, at Chicago, Seattle and at Jacksonville), these improvements must be met if the Lions have any plans of making the playoffs.

Tuesday, September 4, 2012

Lions vs. Rams Preview

     The NFL season is finally here.  Many story lines have led up to this moment: replacement officials, Luck and RGIII, and Tim Tebow to the Jets.  But for Detroit fans there is only one story we want, getting back to Lions football.  The Lions enter the 2012 campaign coming off a 10-6 record and the first trip to the playoffs since 1999.  The road to the playoffs this year begin with a home game against the St. Louis Rams.  The Rams are coming off a season in which they ended 2-14, but this a team in a new direction that the Lions should not overlook.
Lions vs. Rams. Sunday at 1:00 eastern in Detroit.
     The Lions open at home to start the season for the first time since 2006.  This is also the first meeting between these two teams since 2010 when the Lions won 44-6 without Matthew Stafford.
     Both team are different from that meeting.  The Lions obviously have Stafford back with much talent around him on offense along with better pieces on defense.  The Rams have a new system with new head coach Jeff Fisher arriving and bringing in new talent to the team this offseason.  With all the changes going on with the Rams, they are on the upswing, but the Lions cannot afford a loss to a weaker team.  The Lions have the pieces to win on Sunday, and possibly win big.
     On offense, the Lions boast one of the best passing offenses in the NFL with weapons such as Calvin Johnson, Titus Young, Brandon Pettigrew and Nate Burleson, and they should have a good game even though the Rams invested very much into the secondary this season.
     The running game will be without Jahvid Best and Mikel Leshoure this week, but the running game might be absent this year anyways.  However, expect Kevin Smith to have a good game this week against a new look Rams defense that will probably play without first-round pick defensive tackle Micheal Brockers.  St. Louis does boast two good book ends in Chris Long and Robert Quinn that can rush the passer, so that will be key for the Lions on offense to protect Stafford.
     Defensively, the point of emphasis should be on what it has been when defending the Rams and that is to stop Steven Jackson.  Even though the Rams have begun building around Sam Bradford by drafting wide receiver Brian Quick and running back Isaiah Pead in the draft, but Jackson remains the Rams most powerful offensive weapon.
Matthew Stafford looks to lead the Lions to the playoffs
for the second straight year.
     Bradford is a good quarterback, but he had been hurt many times last season and was forced to miss six games.  Now, I am not saying hurt Bradford, but with the recent injury history and a suspect offensive line, the defensive line needs to do what they do best and get to the quarterback.  The front line must get Bradford gun shy and make him fear throwing the football over his own safety and make the Rams running game beat them.
     Overall, the Lions should win this game because they have more pieces in place to win.  The keys are protecting Matthew Stafford and stopping Steven Jackson.  If all those pieces come together, the Lions should win handily and Jim Schwartz should beat his former mentor Jeff Fisher.


     Prediction:  Lions 38-Rams 14

Monday, September 3, 2012

Lions management didn't address the secondary? Think again.

     The Detroit Lions came into the offseason with the glaring hole in the defensive secondary, particularly the cornerback position, after giving up over 1,000 yards the last two games last season against Green Bay and New Orleans.  Many names were thrown around on who they can acquire in the first two rounds of the draft and in free agency to address the secondary.
     Cortland Finnegan, Dre Kirkpatrick, Stephon Gilmore, Jannoris Jenkins were the bigger names mentioned on the wish list.  Who among these names did the Lions get aggressive to acquire?  None of them.    Detroit decided to not be aggressive in free agency and spend money on keeping their own players and select safer moves on more talented players in the draft with tackle Riley Reiff and receiver Ryan Broyles.
     So, does that mean general manager Martin Mayhew did not address the position? Not at all.  The Lions acquired six cornerbacks, two via free agency, three via the draft and one acquired via trade. The Lions actually addressed the cornerback more than any other position this offseason.
     The problems with the secondary was a lack of depth.  The complications in the defensive backfield were shown when key starters Chris Houston and Louis Delmas.  Their tends to be deficiencies on a football team when you are putting guys that are third on the depth chart and putting them in the starting lineups exposes the backfield.
     So to prevent exposure, Mayhew went out and acquired corners that could be very valuable depth and can make an impact.  Once free agency started, he signed Jacob Lacey away from the Colts.  Lacey started 15 games for Indianapolis, and his starting experience is valuable.
Third round pick Dwight Bentley has many expectations
this season for the Lions
     Even though there were no corners taken in the first two rounds of the draft, the Lions drafted three corners out of six remaining picks the rest of the way.  Third round pick Dwight "Bill" Bentley out of Louisiana-Lafayette is an athletic, physical corner that has raised eyebrows throughout training camp and the preseason.  Bentley has a certain chance to start opposite Houston.  Detroit traded up in the fifth round to select Albion College corner Chris Greenwood.  Greenwood is a 6'1" size-strength-speed prospect who is still raw at this point after playing in smaller level college football, but the Lions staff is very excited to have him and he will provide more depth once he comes off the PUP list.  New Mexico State's Jonte Green, who was selected in the sixth round, is another size-speed combinations who will be relied on to add to the depth.
Veteran cornerback Drayton Florence brings experience and
leadership to the Lions secondary
     Mayhew didn't stop making moves to improve the secondary after the draft.  The recent final week of the preseason has been a busy one for the front office, mostly with the roster cuts for the regular season, but also acquiring two more veteran corners.  The week started with a trade with the Washington Redskins to obtain Josh Morgan.  Morgan played both outside and nickel positions for the Redskins and his experience will be valuable.  Finally, after every NFL team set their 53-man roster, the Denver Broncos cut veteran Drayton Florence, whom the Lions immediately jumped on and signed.  Florence is another experienced veteran and will be the oldest player in the secondary at 31-years-old.

     Overall, the Lions had an excellent offseason and appear to have a young but better secondary after adding six new players to the cornerback position.  Cornerback is a position that teams don't ruin a team, but they are still a part of the team and was a need for the Lions this offseason.  But to say the Lions didn't address the position isn't a smart statement, and the secondary will be better.

Friday, August 31, 2012

Grading the Lions Roster

     With the NFL rosters cut down to the 53-man team, the Lions have kept the players that they feel will help the team win.  A few players were surprisingly cut, but football is a numbers game, and those who don't fill those numbers wind up unemployed.
      But with the full roster set, it is now time to grade each position by who is on the roster, the strength of the position and how important those players are to the team.

     Quarterbacks: Matthew Stafford, Shaun Hill, Kellen Moore
   The quarterbacks are very well set and are strength of the team, starting with franchise quarterback Matthew Stafford.  Stafford played for the entire season for the first time in his career last season, and showed what he can do with over 5,000 yards and 41 touchdowns last season.  Shaun Hill is an excellent backup, and has been called the best backup in the league.  Many were surprised to see Kellen Moore make the roster, but he is the future backup quarterback for the team, and he needs to develop.  He probably wouldn't pass through waivers to make the practice squad, so he remains the third quarterback.
     Grade: A

     Running Backs: Jahvid Best, Mikel Leshoure, Kevin Smith, Joique Bell, Keiland Williams, Stefon Logan
   The running back position has been one of the positions highly scrutinized.  The injury to Jahvid Best hurts the offense by taking his speed and catching ability out for at least the first six weeks of the season while on the PUP list.  Mikel Leshoure is second in line, and he has looked good in his two preseason games, but he has durability questions after missing all of last year with an Achilles tendon tear.  Leshoure will also miss the first two games due to league suspension.  The Lions will lean on Kevin Smith, Keiland Williams, Stefan Logan and Joique Bell to tote the rock for the time being.  Logan will see more of a role in the offense, but is still the kick returner.  Smith has been consistent in his play, and I expect him to perform highly.  Consistency with his health is another story, and that will be key for the running game.
     Grade: C

     Receivers: Calvin Johnson, Nate Burleson, Titus Young, Ryan Broyles, Kassim Osgood, Brandon Pettigrew, Tony Scheffler, Will Heller
   By far the strength of the team.  But it should when you have the best wide receiver in the game in Calvin Johnson.  Burleson quietly made 73 catches last season, and Titus Young got hot down the stretch in his rookie year with five of his six touchdowns in the second half of the season.  Ryan Broyles was the surprise of the draft, taken in the second round, but he is the leading receiver in NCAA history at Oklahoma and would have been a top-ten pick had he not torn his ACL in his senior season.  Osgood is mostly a special-teamer.  The Lions are set at tight end with big body pass catchers in Brandon Pettigrew and Tony Scheffler.  Will Heller is a good reserve.
     Grade: A++

     Offensive Lineman:  Jeff Backus, Rob Sims, Dominic Raiola, Stephen Peterman, Gosder Cherilus, Riley Reiff, Jason Fox, Corey Hilliard, Dylan Gandy
   The offensive line returns all five starters for the third straight year.  They protected Matthew Stafford very well last season.  However, the line does have to take some responsibility for the anemic running game.  The depth at tackle is excellent with first round pick Riley Reiff along with Jason Fox and Corey Hilliard as reserves.  With Reiff waiting in the wings to take over at left tackle in the future, expect him to see playing time at tackle and guard this season.  With Reiff having the ability to play guard, the Lions only kept one reserve interior lineman in Dylan Gandy.
     Grade: C+ 

     Defensive Lineman: Cliff Avril, Ndamukong Suh, Corey Williams, Nick Fairley, Kyle Vanden Bosch, Lawrence Jackson, Willie Young, Ronnell Lewis
   Another strength of the team, but inconsistency down the stretch hurt the team and was the culprit of the poor defensive performances the last game of the regular season at Green Bay and the wildcard game at New Orleans.  Suh is the face of the defense, and he will need to return to the form of his rookie year where he dominated opposing offensive lines.  Nick Fairley hasn't lived up to his 13th overall pick status yet due to injuries, but he came into camp overweight and with plenty of off-field issues and has plenty to prove.  Corey  Williams will likely start next to Suh, and is a very solid player, but the Lions will need to put Suh and Fairley on the line at the same time.  Sammie Hill is also a solid reserve at tackle.  At end, Cliff Avril was the MVP for this defense last season, but this may be his last season in Detroit with contract issues, but overall he needs to record more sacks to get the money he wants.  This may also be Kyle Vanden Bosch's last season due to his age, but will start.  Expect big seasons from Willie Young and Lawrence Jackson.  Lewis will be a reserve and get a limited role his rookie season.  The Lions will need to increase their sack numbers this season to be successful.
     Grade: B+

     Linebackers:  Stephen Tulloch, DeAndre Levy, Justin Durant, Doug Hogue, Ashlee Palmer, Travis Lewis, Tahir Whitehead
   The linebackers are solid, but there are no stars in the corps.  Tulloch and Levy are studs and will get the job done, but there needs to be a speed linebacker to complete the front seven.  But with the front line the Lions have, it will be easier for everyone behind them, including the backers.  Durant is fine for the most part at the outside linebacking spot, but will need to stay healthy and tackle better this season.  Hogue, Palmer, Lewis and Whitehead are viable backups, but their impact will be more on special teams.
     Grade: B-

     Defensive Backs:  Chris Houston, Dwight "Bill" Bentley, Jacob Lacey, Jonte Green, Kevin Barnes, Louis Delmas, Erik Coleman, Amari Spievey, John Wendling, Ricardo Silva
   The position that took much criticism and was blamed for the performance down the stretch last season, but the secondary is not as bad as many think.  Depth was a problem for the secondary last season as injuries to Houston and Delmas hurt the defense.  That new depth will be tested with Delmas on the shelf again after knee surgery.  John Wendling and Erik Coleman have played very well this preseason while Amari Spievey has fallen on the depth chart.  The Lions hope they found a consistent starter in third round pick Bill Bentley.  Jacob Lacey, rookie Jonte Green and Kevin Barnes, who came over in a trade with the Redskins this week, are expected to be the better depth this season.
     Grade: C+

     The Lions have the pieces to win this season.  They have found their franchise quarterback in Matthew Stafford.  They also have a franchise offensive player in Calvin Johnson and franchise defensive player in Ndamukong Suh.  There are also very solid players around them in Titus Young, Brandon Pettigrew, Willie Young, Stephen Tulloch and DeAndre Levy.  With the corps group of players, a double digit win season and a second straight trip to the playoffs are by far not out of the question.


   

Tuesday, August 7, 2012

Final Predictions: Playoffs and Super Bowl

     Now that I have completed my regular season predictions, it is now time to give my predictions for who will hold up the Lombardi Trophy at the end of the season.  If you missed my playoff seedings for each conference, here they are:

          NFC:                         AFC:
          1. Packers                 1. Ravens
          2. Eagles                    2. Texans
          3. 49ers                     3. Patriots
          4. Saints                     4. Chiefs
          5. Giants                     5. Steelers
          6. Lions                      6. Titans

     Now that we have the teams set up, we begin with the wild card round.  Obviously, the Packers, Eagles, Ravens and Texans get the bye week with having the top spots.

           NFC:                                        AFC:
           -Lions over 49ers                      - Patriots over Titans
           - Saints over Giants                   - Chiefs over Steelers

     The wildcard sees a couple of wild games where the Lions-49ers new rivalry gets a playoff game added to the pot where the Lions defeat San Fran on the road.  The Saints also take down the Super Bowl champs in the Big Easy, but the Giants will play tough even though there is no threat to fire Tom Coughlin.  On the AFC side, the Patriots handle the Titans easily and Romeo Crennel gets his first victory against the Steelers with his Chiefs knocking off the Steelers at home and ending Kansas City's playoff drought.

     Next up, the divisional round of the playoffs:

          NFC:                                           AFC:
          -Packers over Lions                     - Ravens over Chiefs
          - Eagles over Saints                      - Texans over Patriots
 
     The divisional round sees high scoring affairs in Green Bay and Philadelphia, where the top two teams win and make it one game to the Super Bowl with Green Bay topping Detroit and Philadelphia defeating New Orleans.  The AFC also has the top two teams making it to the conference championship with Baltimore shutting down Kansas City and Houston stunning New England to make their first ever conference championship game.

     Next up, the game that decides the Super Bowl contenders:

           NFC:                                           AFC:
           - Eagles over Packers                  -Ravens over Texans

     And the Super Bowl is set with the Eagles stunning the Packers in Lambeau Field and the Ravens finally making a Super Bowl with Harbaugh and Flacco by taking down the Texans.

      And finally, now that the stage is set, the Super Bowl between the Baltimore Ravens and the Philadelphia Eagles will be won by (drum roll please):

         Super Bowl:
          - Eagles over Ravens


      That's right, I have the Eagles defeating the Ravens in a wild Super Bowl.  Andy Reid finally wins one for the fans, leaving Flacco another year of listening to the critics.  The Super Bowl that pits two of the most talented teams comes down whoever has more heart and the age factor helps the Eagles win over the aging Ravens.  Eagles fans can now rest easy, at least for eight months.

Monday, August 6, 2012

NFL Predictions 2012: NFC

  Now it is time to predict the NFC and which six teams will make the playoffs and why.  The next post after this one will be the official playoff predictions.

     NFC East:
     1. Philadelphia Eagles:  The Eagles are past the whole "dream-team" drama.  Vince Young is gone, and so is all the super-hype in Philadelphia.  The Eagles didn't make that much of a splash in free agency like last year, but made excellent moves this offseason acquiring linebacker DeMeco Ryans via trade with Houston, and having an excellent draft to further improve the defense with first round pick defensive tackle Fletcher Cox and second picks in linebacker Mychal Kendricks and defensive end Vinny Curry.  The key is the health of quarterback Micheal Vick and the rest of the offense. Record: 13-3
     2. New York Giants*:  It is very hard to put the defending Super Bowl champions not winning their division, but the Eagles I believe are just that much better.  It also hurts the Giants cause when they made the run based off they got hot at the right time, at the end of the year.  But that doesn't mean you should count out New York.  The Giants are still a very good team and improved in the draft.  The Giants just need to play more consistently and not lose to teams such as the Redskins like they did last year.  Also be on a lookout for the players Big Blue drafted last year.  None had much of impact due to injuries and look to make one now. Record: 12-4
     3. Dallas Cowboys:  Much has been made about the Cowboys being aggressive in the offseason.  The Cowboys did improve in the secondary by signing free agents Brandon Carr and Brodney Pool and then trading their second round pick to move up eight slots to grab LSU corner Morris Claiborne in the first round.  However, with those moves, the Cowboys don't seem to be the stacked team they say they are.  The Cowboys are lacking in the offensive line, along with consistency in the offense as a whole, and there is no answer for a pass rusher opposite DeMarcus Ware.  Those are key holes that they have not filled, and it will cost them when it comes to a playoff run. Record: 9-7
     4. Washington Redskins:  The Redskins are still in rebuilding mode.  Even though that is hard to think about since they made the bold move to mortgage their drafts for the next two years to move up and select Baylor quarterback Robert Griffin III, but it will most likely be a tough season for RG3.  The defense is excellent, as it has stars such as Brian Orakpo, London Fletcher and DeAngelo Hall, along with an up-and-comer star in Ryan Kerrigan, but the supporting cast on offense is very...bland. 5'10" Santana Moss remains to be Washington's only good receiver, and even though tight end Fred Davis is coming into his own, there isn't much for RG3 to throw to, and he must throw to these guys with a suspect offensive line.  Redskins fans should probably prepare for another tough season unless Griffin does what Cam Newton did for Carolina last year. Record: 6-10

     NFC North:
     1. Green Bay Packers:  The Packers are still one of the best teams in the NFL.  They still have Aaron Rodgers.  The still have their good receivers.  And they still have their good defensive players on defense with Clay Matthews and Charles Woodson.  Now the Packers greatly improve the defense that finished last in the NFL where they always improve, the draft.  Adding USC pass rusher Nick Perry along with Michigan State defensive lineman Jerel Worthy should help the defense improve on their embarrassing year last year.  Now the only questions are are can the defense come together and can the offense find a running game. Record: 13-3
     2. Detroit Lions*:  For the first time in a long time, the Lions have expectations to live up to.  Coming off of their first playoff appearance in over a decade gives the motor city some optimism, and rightfully so, the Lions are a very talented team.  Even though a majority of the fans disagree with the moves the Lions made this offseason, they were all the right ones.  The Lions have question marks in the secondary, but a more consistent pass rush along with more depth should help in that department for another year.  The biggest question is the running game on offense and if it can be effective with the passing game.  If Jahvid Best, Mikel Leshoure and Kevin Smith can all stay healthy, along with the acquisition of Iowa offensive lineman Riley Reiff with their first round pick, the Lions should have a formidable run game and compete in the NFC. Record: 11-5
     3. Chicago Bears:  The Bears are another team that has made a splash this offseason, acquiring weapons around Jay Cutler in receiver Brandon Marshall via trade, running back Micheal Bush via free agency, and receiver Alshon Jeffery via the draft.  However, although the Bears should win a bunch of games this year, I think they miss the playoffs by not addressing their bad offensive line at all and not doing enough to rebuild an aging defense.  First round pick Shea McClellin is a start, but it should also be interesting how they make pass rushing packages around him. Record: 10-6
     4. Minnesota Vikings:  The Vikings had one of the best drafts in the NFL this past April.  However, that won't affect their position in the standings, as their is still much more needs on this talent-starved roster.  Quarterback Christian Ponder took a beating in his rookie year last season, and should see some help in fourth overall pick USC left tackle Matt Kalil, but there is still many holes on the offensive line.  The defense will get a boost with the Vikings second first round draft pick in Notre Dame safety Harrison Smith, but the rest of the secondary is very poor and the linebacking corps is not in very good shape.  Minnesota has a long way to go before they make another run.  Record: 4-12

     AFC South:
     1. New Orleans Saints:  The Saints have taken a huge hit with the bounty allegations, losing head coach/offensive coordinator Sean Payton and star linebacker Jonathan Vilma.  However, New Orleans still have their MVP in Drew Brees, after getting a nice pay-day, along with the majority of their offense.  The defense should also get a boost from new coordinator Steve Spagnuolo, who was the Giants defensive coordinator when they won the Super Bowl in 2007 and was a very formidable defense then.  The team is looking at major adversity, but they have been facing adversity since Brees arrived in 2006, and they have a record of 63-33 in that span.  No change in this year. Record: 11-5
     2. Atlanta Falcons:  The Falcons are a good team.  But they aren't at the elite status they think they are.  The offensive did get a boost with second round pick center Peter Konz out of Wisconsin, but it is still a weakness when the Falcons want to run the football effectively.  Their rushing total dropped significantly last season, and most of that was the offense trying to be more explosive with Julio Jones and Roddy White, but their line is still at the moment suspect.  The defense didn't look that much better when the offense didn't play much ball control last year.  The Falcons must find more consistency on offense and in the pass rush if they want to win in what is turning into a competitive division. Record: 9-7
     3. Carolina Panthers:  The Panthers have found their franchise player.  His name is Cam Newton.  Their could be a drop-off in statistics if Newton suffers the sophomore slump, but he should still put up some numbers.  Now the Panthers have a job to do and that is build the team around him.  There has been a little criticism about selecting Boston College linebacker Luke Kuechly rather than drafting a defensive tackle, but the Panthers did the right thing and took the best talent on the board.  The Panthers should see more improvements this season, but it is a process. Record: 8-8
     4. Tampa Bay Buccaneers:  After ending the 2012 campaign on a ten game losing streak after a 4-2 start, the Bucs look to a new direction after hiring Rutgers coach Greg Schiano.  The Bucs did acquire some nice talent this offseason with wide receiver Vincent Jackson and guard Carl Nicks via free agency and also acquired talent via the draft with safety Mark Barron (7th overall), running Back Doug Martin (31st overall), and linebacker Lavonte David (58th overall).  However, with a new coach and the need to make chemistry, there may be growing pains.  Plus it doesn't help that the NFC South is fairly tough.  Tampa Bay should make some strides in improvement, but it is a work in progress with gathering more talent. Record: 6-10

     NFC West:
     1. San Francisco 49ers: Although the quaterback position is still suspect for the 49ers, the team is still a very solid team.  The defense doesn't need to be talked about because they have too many studs.  Again, the quarterback situation is one you would not want to look at if you are a 49er fan.  Alex Smith did lead the team to the NFC Championship game with a 13-3 season, but San Fran played more of a ball control offense that worked well with their defense.  Now it will be interesting to see how the 49ers handle a more down field offense where they actually throw the ball with new acquisitions Randy Moss, Mario Manningham and first round pick A.J. Jenkins at wide receiver. Record: 11-5
     2. Arizona Cardinals:  The quarterback battle that takes place in Arizona is shaping out to be a boring one if you ask me.  Kevin Kolb is probably their best one, and he is inconsistent and has the injury bug.  John Skelton won games for the team in 2011, but he had the second worst completion percentage in the NFL too.  However, the rest of the team is pretty solid.  Offensive line is a weakness, and that affects the play of the quaterbacks.  But, the defense is solid and the weapons around whoever is under center are pretty solid.  Still a weak division even with all the improvements around, so the Cards are fortunate there.  But the play at quarterback unfortunately takes them down and out of playoff contention. Record: 8-8
     3. Seattle Seahawks:  Yet another boring quarterback battle taking place here.  The Seahawks are going to give the keys to either incumbent Tarvaris Jackson, free agent pickup Matt Flynn who has put up numbers in his two career starts, but they are only two career starts, and third round pick (probably the best one) Russell Wilson.  Add that sleeping pill of a quarterback battle with a terrible draft, and you got yourselves another 7-9 record in Seattle.  The Seahawks used the 15th overall pick on a pass rusher that is only good in passing situations, and then they signed washed up receivers for whoever wins the battle to throw to.  Seattle is lucky the Rams are still rebuilding, or they would be in the basement. Record: 7-9
     4. St. Louis Rams: I like what the Rams have done.  Hiring Jeff Fisher, not panicking after the Jaguars jumped them and took Justin Blackmon and still had a great draft.  But the Rams are still rebuilding and I would expect them to take the big step next year after they acquire more talent.  They can compete with Sam Bradford, Chris Long, Steven Jackson and their rookies, but their development will be key for them moving forward. Record: 6-10

*denotes wildcard winners

Playoff Seedings:
1. Packers
2. Eagles
3. 49ers
4. Saints
5. Giants
6. Lions

Finally, coming soon, the entire playoff predictions for each round and Super Bowl match-up and winner.

Friday, August 3, 2012

NFL Predictions 2012: AFC

     Well everyone, it is almost that time, football season is just around the corner.  Just can't wait huh?  Well, it is now time for my NFL predictions.  I will split up each conference into two different posts and then do a third for my playoff predictions, starting with the AFC in this post.  I will break down each division and tell why each team will make or miss the playoffs and give playoff seeding to the six spots.

     AFC North:
     1. Baltimore Ravens: Even though the Ravens will miss star pass-rusher Terrell Suggs for a significant amount of time, along with inconsistencies in the offense, I still pick the Ravens to win the North and make another run at a title.  Baltimore is probably the most talented team in the AFC, but have underachieved greatly the last four years. Record: 13-3
     2. Pittsburgh Steelers*: The Steelers could easily overtake the Ravens with improvements along their offensive line with guard David Decastro and tackle Mike Adams with their first two draft picks.  But question marks with an older defense with key veterans release in the offseason along with a question mark on whether Ben Roethlisberger and new offensive coordinator Todd Haley can get on the same page puts Pittsburgh in question for the division title. Record: 11-5
     3. Cincinnati Bengals:  The Bengals were the surprise team last year when they made the playoffs with a rookie quarterback in Andy Dalton and rookie wide receiver A.J. Green.  Now they come in more experienced and with a very good draft, but it is still a tough job to win in a division with Baltimore and Pittsburgh in it, but this is still a young team that will be very good. Record: 10-6
    4. Cleveland Browns:  The Browns have new faces of the franchise with their first round picks running back Trent Richardson and quarterback Brandon Weeden.  How they perform will be what the Browns season will be like, and it is going to be tough when the Browns are a very weak team in a tough division.
Record: 4-12

     AFC East:
     1. New England Patriots:  This is probably one of the last chances for veterans such as Tom Brady and Wes Welker win their Super Bowl, but it shouldn't be very hard to win the division with weak teams.  Plus there is a better chance with significant improvements on defense through the draft with first round picks defensive end Chandler Jones and linebacker Donta Hightower. Record: 12-4
     2. Buffalo Bills:  The Bills spent money in the offseason, grabbing pass rushers Mario Williams and Mark Anderson.  Things to watch out for with the Bills are the health of running back Fred Jackson, the consistency of quarterback Ryan Fitzpatrick and the rest of the offense, and the development of first round draft pick cornerback Stephon Gilmore.  I felt Gilmore was a reach for a first round pick, let alone the tenth overall pick, so it shall be interesting to see his impact in Orchard Park. Record: 8-8
     3. New York Jets:  The Jets are a bad team.  They proved how overrated they are last season.  Now they are messing around with the thought of making packages for Tim Tebow on offense, playing cornerback Antonio Cromartie at wide receiver, and trying to make a pass rush with guys that they hope can succeed.  No running game and an over arrogant defense and coach puts them in a battle for third place with the Dolphins. Record: 6-10
     4. Miami Dolphins:  Somehow, the Dolphins find a way to lose that race with the Jets.  But a new head coach, new offense, new defensive scheme, and a stopgap at quarterback to develop eighth overall pick Ryan Tannehill put the Dolphins way down in the cellar in 2012. Record: 5-11

     AFC South: 
     1. Houston Texans:  The time is now on the up and coming Texans who made their first playoff appearance in their franchise's ten year history.  Even though the early parts of training camp has brought upon many early injuries to key players, along with other players coming off injuries, the Texans play in a weak division and should win it easily.  The talent on the team should along with a good running game and good defense may help Houston make a run. Record: 12-4
     2. Tennessee Titans*:  The Titans have many young weapons on both sides of the ball, it all just matters if they can coincide.  Another point that could hold the Titans back is the current quarterback battle between incumbent veteran Matt Hasselbeck and former eighth overall pick Jake Locker.  Even though the starter should be Locker, it should be an interesting battle.  How that competition play out along with Chris Johnson getting back to the 2009 form along with the utilizing of young weapons in tight end Jared Cook and first round pick wide receiver Kendall Wright will be the difference for the Titans in their hunt for the playoffs.
Record: 10-6
     3. Jacksonville Jaguars:  The Jaguars have gone through many changes with a new owner, new head coach and a new draft strategy.  The Jags didn't try and make a diamond in the rough type of draft by taking small school players high, and instead traded up to get the best receiver in the draft in Justin Blackmon to hopefully help second year quarterback Blaine Gabbert, who struggled in his rookie year.  However, the Jaguars still need to keep building before they have a legitimate chance of making the playoffs. Record: 4-12
     4. Indianapolis Colts:   The Colts are in massive rebuild mode.  A new head coach in Chuck Pagano, a new quaterback and face of the franchise in Andrew Luck, and a new scheme on defense switching from a 4-3 to a 3-4 defense.  Luck is very hyped as the sure thing at quarterback, and the Colts have begun building around him.  However, he may struggle during the season.  As could the defense where star defensive ends Dwight Freeney and Robert Mathis are now outside linebackers in the new scheme.  The Colts will probably end up in the basement for the second year in a row, but I expect them to be more competitive in this regime than the old. Record: 3-13

     AFC West:
     1. Kansas City Chiefs:  The Chiefs did have a surprising draft, taking nose tackle Dontari Poe, who was very underachieving in college but is very athletic for a big man, 11th overall.  However, Poe will help the defense greatly by taking on blockers and giving their pass rushers more one-on-ones and give more of a rush.  There are two keys for Kansas City to win the west: the health and consistency of quarterback Matt Cassel, and the health of stars Jamaal Charles and Eric Berry, who both suffered torn ACLs early last season. Record: 11-5
     2. San Diego Chargers: The Chargers window continues closing, and the pressure is on head coach Norv Turner and quarterback Phillip Rivers to win.  San Diego did greatly improve their pass rush in the draft with Melvin Ingram, but there are still question marks on the offensive line with the losses of left tackle Marcus McNeil and guard Kris Deilman.  Also, the loss of star wide receiver Vincent Jackson could be key as well.
Record: 9-7
     3. Denver Broncos:  The Broncos made a huge splash by signing star quarterback Peyton Manning in the offseason.  Manning should still Manning, but their are still questions to his health that will put the team in question.  The Broncos also didn't help themselves in the draft very much, and that could affect the team even more because Denver shouldn't be like Indianapolis and have everything depend on Manning. Record: 9-7
     4. Oakland Raiders:  The Raiders are still a good team, but having essentially no draft to improve on along a new philosphy and new head coach puts the Raiders back in the basement.  Oakland will also need to depend heavily on running back Darren McFadden and his health to have a chance at the division. Record: 9-7

*denotes wildcard winners

  Playoff Seedings:
1. Ravens
2. Texans
3. Patriots
4. Chiefs
5. Steelers
6. Titans


Up Next: NFC Predictions coming soon.

Friday, July 27, 2012

Why the Lions will be good in '12

     The Lions enter training camp this season coming off their first playoff appearance in over a decade.  They also are coming off of an impressive 10-win campaign just three years after the NFL's first ever 0-16 season.  So now the sky is the limit for the Lions, right?  Absolutely, although most Lions fans seem to think otherwise.
   
     Many fans fear that the Lions' decisions in the offseason will affect this team in a negative way.  The Lions weaknesses going in to the offseason were the secondary and the running game.

     The front office helped the running game by drafting OL Riley Reiff in the first round of the draft, but disappointed the fans by not getting a top cornerback or running back in the draft or free agency.  With those question marks, many fans question if the Lions will even have a winning season in 2012.


     I have just one word to say to all the doubters out there: Relax.


     Just because the organization did not fill the needs you all desperately wanted them to get, the team will still be good.  


Stafford, Lions look to continue their success
of last season.
     They have the stars that can carry the team in Matthew Stafford, Calvin Johnson and Ndamukong Suh with a good supporting cast to be good.  So it is not the end of the world the Lions drafted Riley Reiff rather than trading up for cornerbacks Dre Kirkpatrick or Stephon Gilmore, or that they stunned and angered the fanbase by drafting wide receiver Ryan Broyles rather than a corner or running backs such as Lamicheal James.  Nor is it bad that they weren't aggressive at all in free agency and just resigned all of their own players.


     The fact of the matter is is that general manager Martin Mayhew and the rest of the front office had the right plan and made the right decisions. 


     Injury concerns with running back Jahvid Best and Broyles, the uncertainty of defensive end Cliff Avril's contract status and whether he will hold out, along with the release of corner Aaron Berry due to offseason arrests just seem to fuel that fire that the fans have lit. In fact, the questions have led to fans believing the team won't even have a winning record.  


     There are many questions that the Lions need to answer, but it doesn't change the fact that the team is good.  The running game will have a boost with Reiff upgrading the offensive line, and the secondary was exposed by poor play by the defensive line, which was very unexpected last season.  Avril should be signed shortly, but even though he is an important cog to the defense, there are other players on the line that are due for breakout seasons.

     The Lions, along with the other 31 teams in the NFL, have holes, but does that mean those holes will affect the 2012?  NO.  The Lions were successful in the 2011 without much of a running game and a suspect secondary, and adding more talent in the mix helps the Lions even more.

     Fans need to look past the holes and question marks on the team and realize that Detroit fans finally have a good professional football team to cheer for, but there is one question needed to answer immediately:

     ARE YOU READY FOR SOME FOOTBALL?!
     


     
     


     

Thursday, July 12, 2012

Names to Keep Eyes On

     With the MLB trade deadline approaching, it is now time to take a look at a couple names that come to mind that the Detroit Tigers could trade for at the end of the July.  The needs on the roster Detroit might go after are starting pitchers, a second baseman, and more help in the bullpen.  I would expect the Tigers to go out and find more starting pitching, but here are a few names that come to mind that the Tigers could target.

Cubs starting pitcher Matt Garza could be at the
top of the Tigers wish list for July 31st. 
     Matt Garza, RHP, Cubs:  Garza has been mentioned a lot in trades with the Tigers, among other teams.  Garza would be a good number three starting pitcher in the rotation (depending on how Doug Fister and Max Scherzer's performs throughout the rest of the season).  Garza is currently 4-6 with a 4.01 ERA for the Cubs, but he has a career ERA of 3.85 with Chicago and Tampa Bay.

     Jason Vargas, LHP, Mariners:  The Tigers could be looking at another midseason trade with Seattle like they did last year to acquire Doug Fister.  Vargas is only 7-7 this season with a 4.31 ERA, but his ERA has ballooned during interleague play.  Vargas would fit well at the back end of the rotation and would give starter Drew Smyly more of a break in the rotation.

     Wandy Rodriguez, LHP, Astros:  Another lefty starter that the Tigers could be looking at as a back-end of the rotation answer.  Rodriguez has pitched very well for a bad Astros team, going 6-6 with a 3.54 ERA. Rodriguez has given up many hits, however, so if the Tigers trade for Rodriguez, it will need to be for a cheap price.

     Darwin Barney, 2B, Cubs:  Not a real stud, but he could be an answer for the Tigers at second base.  Won't exactly tear the cover off the ball when batting, only batting .265 with three homers and 23 RBI's this season, and is only hitting .269 in his young two-year career.  Barney, however, can be a boost for the infield's defense that has been greatly criticized.  Barney could possibly be included with Matt Garza if that trade could happen.

     Marco Scutaro, SS, Rockies:  Another middle infiedler the Tigers could be looking at.  Scutaro has played shortstop his entire career, but has started to play second base in Colorado, and could be another solution at second base for this season.  Scutaro has not had a bad year at the plate, hitting .286 with four homers.  The only problem with Scutaro is is that he is 36-years-old, so it would most likely be only a solution at second base for this season, so if the Tigers only plan for this year, then they take chance on Scutaro.

     Now, the Tigers do not have much in their farm system to trade that they can get a top player, like a Cole Hamels, but they could possibly find a way to get Garza with what they have.  RHP Jacob Turner and 3B Nick Castellanos are the prospects that are untouchable in the trades, but there could be other prospects the Tigers could give up to acquire one or two of these of these players that can help get a World Series Championship that Detroit has set out to do.

Thursday, June 28, 2012

MLB First Half Awards: American League

     With the National League's awards out of the way in my last post, it is now time to take a look at the players who earned their keep in the American League.  The American League was more difficult to decide who earned each award, but all have earned their status'.
   
Josh Hamilton looks to get the Rangers
to a third straight World Series
     MVP:  Josh Hamilton, OF, Rangers.  This was the no-doubter in the American League, even though there are still guys that can overtake him for the MVP in the second half of the season.  Hamilton has cooled off this month, and it didn't help missing about a week of playing time being in the hospital thanks to an intestinal infection, but he is still batting with a .313 average and is still ranks in the top three in the AL with 24 homeruns and 67 RBIs.  Hamilton won the MVP back in 2010, and for the Rangers to make the run to World Series again for a third year in a row, and possibly winning it, they will need Hamilton to keep going all season to ward off the resurgent Angels of Anaheim.
     Next in Line: Derek Jeter, SS, Yankees; Paul Konerko, 1B, White Sox; Adam Jones, OF, Orioles; Miguel Cabrera, 1B, Tigers

   





Chris Sale has had an excellent year for the Chicago White Sox
     Cy Young:  Chris Sale, LHP, White Sox. Tough decision for the American League Cy Young because there hasn't been the Justin Verlander performance of last year.  Sale does have the best numbers, even though it took Chicago a while to decide if he is better suited for starter or closer.  The White Sox has made the right decision, because Sale has posted a 9-2 record with a 2.27 ERA along with a WHIP of 0.97.  Sale has also struck out 94 batters, good for sixth in the AL, and has walked only 24.  Along with the limited walks, Sale is only giving up an opponents' batting average of .198, which is why he has a tiny WHIP.  Another point to bring up, Sale's home ballpark (U.S. Cellular Field in Chicago) is known as a "hitters ballpark" because of the homeruns it yields, and he is still putting up good numbers on the mound, making him my first half Cy Young winner for the American League.
    Next in Line: Jason Hammel, RHP, Orioles; Justin Verlander, RHP, Tigers; C.J. Wilson, LHP, Angels; Jered Weaver, RHP, Angels

Rookie Mike Trout expects to keep the Angels
in the hunt
     Rookie of the Year: Mike Trout, OF, Angels.  This is the no-doubter pick for the AL.  Trout has been a standout ever since the Angels brought him up from the minors in May.  Trout has been the spark in the Angels turnaround lately, with his offense and defense.  Defensively, nothing has gotten by him in centerfield, as he runs down everything it seems like.  Offensively, he is hitting a scorching .344 with seven homeruns and 30 RBI's.  He also has an on-base percentage of .402, while scoring 47 runs.  Trout is expected to cool off at some point, but for now, he is the playmaker the Angels need to have to get their promising season back on track.


    Next in Line:  Yu Darvish, SP, Rangers; Yoenis Cespedes, OF, A's; Drew Smyly, SP, Tigers




     All six players in these last two articles are based solely on my opinion (even though the consensus for a lot of these picks agrees with me).  However, if thes players hold up the rest of the season following the All-Star Break, they very well might actually earn these honors.